15
Systems
Lindy Effect
Survivability.
The article
If
For non-perishable things like ideas or software, the longer they have survived, the longer they are likely to survive.
Then
“If you need a stable system for 10 years, choose a technology that has already been around for 10 years (e.g., PostgreSQL over a new NoSQL).”
Unless
Hype Cycle Analysis
Source
Coined by Albert Goldman (New Republic, 1964); formalized by Benoit Mandelbrot and popularized by Nassim Taleb, Antifragile (2012).
Go to the sourceSee also